CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
VEB Arena

CSKA
5 - 1
Orenburg

Musaev (23'), Diveyev (30', 59'), Oblyakov (39'), Khellven (71')
Moises (26'), Koita (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Rybchinsky (31')
Sidorov (25'), Basic (89')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 CSKA
Saturday, July 27 at 1pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 0-0 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, July 28 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 60.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA MoscowDrawOrenburg
60.12% (-0.13 -0.13)21.79% (0.010000000000002 0.01)18.09% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.27% (0.196 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67% (0.145 0.15)45.33% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (0.139 0.14)67.67% (-0.136 -0.14)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)14.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.21% (0.012999999999998 0.01)42.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (0.225 0.23)38.76% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (0.212 0.21)75.49% (-0.209 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    CSKA Moscow 60.11%
    Orenburg 18.09%
    Draw 21.78%
CSKA MoscowDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.9% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.47% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 3.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 60.11%
1-1 @ 10.33%
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 5.38%
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.55% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 18.09%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 11am
Gameweek 19
CSKA
1-1
Orenburg
Musaev (81')
Perez (90+3')
Florentin (90+6'), Deogracia (91')
Aug 25, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Orenburg
1-1
CSKA
Vera (70')
Perez (34')
Moises (49')
Willyan (37'), Zabolotny (67'), Zdjelar (88')
May 7, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
CSKA
2-1
Orenburg
Diveyev (8'), Chalov (87')
Oganesyan (90+4')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 14
Orenburg
2-2
CSKA
Sychevoy (18', 64' pen.)
Chalov (7'), Gojkovic (20' og.)
Jul 8, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 27
Orenburg
0-4
CSKA

Fameyeh (25'), Kulishev (51'), Krivoruchko (84'), Terekhov (90+1')
Chalov (32'), Vlasic (59'), Shchennikov (78'), Oblyakov (90+3')
Diveev (47'), Nababkin (57')