Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.