Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 0-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.