Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Baltika Stadium
CSKA Moscow

Baltika
3 - 1
CSKA

Bistrovic (51' pen.), Fernandes (76'), Kaplenko (85')
Andrade (40'), Gassama (41'), Rybchinsky (60'), Gassama (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Glebov (90')
Musaev (54'), Gajic (61'), Glebov (83')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Baltika and CSKA Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Last Game: Krasnodar 3-2 Baltika
Wednesday, April 24 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: CSKA 0-0 Spartak Moscow
Thursday, April 25 at 6.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 46.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 26.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Baltika win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
BaltikaDrawCSKA Moscow
26.55% (0.035999999999998 0.04)26.74% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)46.71% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.03% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.67% (0.034999999999997 0.03)56.33% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (0.028000000000002 0.03)77.36% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.28% (0.048999999999999 0.05)36.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.51% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89%24.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)58.41% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Baltika 26.55%
    CSKA Moscow 46.7%
    Draw 26.74%
BaltikaDrawCSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 8.87%
2-1 @ 6.32% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.44% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.85% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 12.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.97%
0-2 @ 8.96% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.26%
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.7%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
CSKA
1-0
Baltika
Davila (18')
Fayzullayev (70')

Ostojic (30'), Gassama (68')