CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
VEB Arena

CSKA
1 - 0
Baltika

Davila (18')
Fayzullayev (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ostojic (30'), Gassama (68')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between CSKA Moscow and Baltika.

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Rostov 3-3 CSKA
Sunday, September 24 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Baltika

All competitions
Last Game: Baltika 1-0 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.

Result
CSKA MoscowDrawBaltika
59.85% (-0.315 -0.31)21.96% (0.104 0.1)18.18% (0.211 0.21)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.08% (-0.121 -0.12)45.92% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.117 -0.12)68.23% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)14.94% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.67% (-0.271 -0.27)43.33% (0.27 0.27)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61% (0.169 0.17)39% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.28% (0.159 0.16)75.72% (-0.158 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    CSKA Moscow 59.84%
    Baltika 18.18%
    Draw 21.95%
CSKA MoscowDrawBaltika
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-0 @ 10.52% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.17% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.84%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.82% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.95%
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.053 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.91% (0.046 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 18.18%