Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT VEB Arena
  • Victor Davila 18' goal
  • Abbosbek Fayzullayev 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Ostojic 30'
  • yellowcard Nathan Gassama 68'

CSKA Moscow vs Baltika - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

CSKA Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 24, 2023 5.00pm
Rostov 3 - 3 CSKA
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Fedor Chalov

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 2.30pm
Baltika 1 - 0 Akhmat Grozny
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Angelo Henriquez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 18.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.

Result

CSKA Moscow 59.85% (-0.32)
Draw 21.96% (+0.11)
Baltika 18.18% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.89% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.08% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 45.92% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 31.76% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 68.23% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 15.91% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.09% (+0.09)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 85.06% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 14.94% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 56.67% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 43.33% (+0.27)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5 61% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 39% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 24.28% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 75.72% (-0.16)

Score analysis

CSKA Moscow 59.84%
Draw 21.95%
Baltika 18.18%
CSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 11.07%
2-0 @ 10.52% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.67% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.17% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.82% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 21.95%
Baltika
0-1 @ 5.48% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.91% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.58% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.54% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 18.18%