Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.