Russian Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Rostov Arena
  • Vasily Cherov 8' goal
  • Tamerlan Musaev 48' goal
  • Tamerlan Musaev 81' yellowcard
  • Evgeny Latyshonok 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Vyacheslav Yakimov 14'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bryzgalov 34'
  • yellowcard Sergey Bozhin 79'
  • yellowcard Irakli Kvekveskiri 90'+3'

Baltika vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 31, 2023 5.30pm
Spartak Moscow 2 - 1 Baltika
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Angelo Henriquez

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 30, 2023 3.30pm
Fakel 1 - 4 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Yevgeni Markov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Baltika would win this match.

Result

Baltika 42.05% (-0.09)
Draw 27.81% (+0.01)
Fakel 30.13% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.1% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.46% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 58.54% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 20.89% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 79.11% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 8.85% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 91.15% (+0.01)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5 72.53% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 27.47% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 37.03% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 62.96% (+0.07)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 35.05% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 28.2% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.8% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Baltika 42.05%
Draw 27.81%
Fakel 30.13%
Baltika
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.63% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.81%
Fakel
0-1 @ 10.09% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.84% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.29% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 30.13%