Russian Premier League Gameweek 27
May 14, 2023 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Roman Akbashev 67' goal

Fakel vs Nizhny Novgorod - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 6, 2023 5.00pm
Rostov 0 - 2 Fakel
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Georgy Gongadze

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 7, 2023 12.00pm
Nizhny Novgorod 0 - 0 Ural
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Timur Suleymanov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fakel in this match.

Result

Fakel 40.56% (-0.17)
Draw 26.81% (+0.01)
Nizhny Novgorod 32.63% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.97% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.95% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54.05% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.52% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 75.48% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 11.05% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 88.94% (-0.02)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 73.81% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 26.18% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 38.73% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 61.27% (+0.10)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5 69.05% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 30.94% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 32.75% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 67.24% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Fakel 40.55%
Draw 26.8%
Nizhny Novgorod 32.63%
Fakel
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.1% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.8%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-1 @ 9.5% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.47% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.57% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.18% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.63%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Municipal 1
  • Ilya Agapov 36' yellowcard
  • Albert Sharipov 44' yellowcard
  • Ibrokhimhalil Yoldoshev 50' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Kalinsky 66' goal
  • Nikolay Kalinsky 73' goal
  • Milson 89' yellowcard
  • Milson 90'+7' goal
  • goal Maksim Maksimov 5'
  • yellowcard Andrey Mendel 78'
  • yellowcard Ruslan Magal 82'