Fakel
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 27
May 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov

Fakel
1 - 0
Nizhny Novgorod

Akbashev (67' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Rostov 0-2 Fakel
Saturday, May 6 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 Ural
Sunday, May 7 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fakel in this match.

Result
FakelDrawNizhny Novgorod
40.56% (-0.166 -0.17)26.81% (0.0019999999999989 0)32.63% (0.163 0.16)
Both teams to score 50.97% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.95% (0.031999999999996 0.03)54.05% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52% (0.026999999999997 0.03)75.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)26.18% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.73% (-0.1 -0.1)61.27% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.05% (0.126 0.13)30.94% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.75% (0.148 0.15)67.24% (-0.151 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Fakel 40.55%
    Nizhny Novgorod 32.63%
    Draw 26.8%
FakelDrawNizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.55%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.1% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.63%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 1pm
gameweek 8
Nizhny Novgorod
3-1
Fakel
Kalinsky (66' pen., 73' pen.), Milson (90+7')
Agapov (36'), Sharipov (44'), Yoldoshev (50'), Milson (89')
Maksimov (5')
Mendel (78'), Magal (82')