Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 16.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.

Result
Dynamo Moscow	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
61.89% ( -0.46)	21.92% ( 0.17)	16.18% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 48.02% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.97% (

-0.22)

49.03% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.89% (

-0.2)

71.11% (

0.2)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.69% (

-0.22)

15.31% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.95% (

-0.42)

44.05% (

0.42)

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.7% (

0.25)

43.3% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.46% (

0.21)

79.54% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Moscow 61.89%

Nizhny Novgorod 16.18%

Draw 21.92%

Dynamo Moscow	Draw	Nizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 61.89%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.79% Total : 21.92%	0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.18%