Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.