Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.