Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.