Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.