Russian Premier League | Gameweek 26
May 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
Rostov Arena
Fakel

Rostov
0 - 2
Fakel

FT(HT: 0-0)
Akbashev (46'), Appaev (74')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rostov

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 1-1 Rostov
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-2 Fakel
Friday, April 28 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
RostovDrawFakel
51.99% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)24.05% (0.013000000000002 0.01)23.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)47.66% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.14% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)69.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)18.31% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)49.4% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.91% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rostov 51.99%
    Fakel 23.96%
    Draw 24.04%
RostovDrawFakel
1-0 @ 10.63%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 51.99%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.6% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 23.96%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 14
Fakel
1-1
Rostov
Gongadze (90+7' pen.)
Appaev (6')
Glebov (50')
rhs 2.0


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