Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 59.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 18.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rostov in this match.