Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Mar 12, 2023 at 11am UK
Saint Petersburg Stadium

Zenit
3 - 2
Khimki

Malcom (19', 55'), Mantuan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Magomedov (75', 86' pen.)
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Khimki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Last Game: Zenit 3-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, March 4 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Khimki

All competitions
Last Game: Fakel 1-1 Khimki
Friday, March 3 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 89.12%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 3.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.04%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.48%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-2 (1.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawKhimki
89.12% (0.10000000000001 0.1)7.54% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)3.34% (-0.0239 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.63% (0.231 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.53% (0.331 0.33)21.47% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.83% (0.458 0.46)40.17% (-0.459 -0.46)
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.08% (0.061000000000007 0.06)2.93% (-0.0609 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.74% (0.21499999999999 0.21)13.26% (-0.215 -0.22)
Khimki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.01% (0.208 0.21)52.99% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.36% (0.13 0.13)86.65% (-0.13000000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 89.11%
    Khimki 3.34%
    Draw 7.54%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawKhimki
3-0 @ 11.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 10.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 7.1% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
4-1 @ 6.38% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.48% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-1 @ 4.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
6-0 @ 4.18% (0.044 0.04)
6-1 @ 2.65% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
7-0 @ 2.11% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.022 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.43% (0.024 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.34% (0.03 0.03)
8-0 @ 0.93% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 89.11%
1-1 @ 3.48% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 1.55% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 7.54%
1-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 3.34%

Head to Head
Jul 15, 2022 6pm
Khimki
1-1
Zenit
Mirzov (84')
Bozhenov (44')
Wendel (17')
Sutormin (67')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Zenit
1-0
Khimki
Sergeev (14')
Adamov (90+1')
Jul 24, 2021 3.30pm
Khimki
1-3
Zenit
Kukharchuk (28')
Azmoun (33'), Erokhin (71'), Sutormin (76' pen.)
Ozdoyev (4')
Apr 5, 2021 5pm
Zenit
2-0
Khimki
Karavayev (45+4'), Mostovoy (90+3')
Lovren (10'), Azmoun (86')

Idowu (66')
Nov 1, 2020 11am
Khimki
0-2
Zenit

Idowu (82')
Mostovoy (18'), Erokhin (78')
Sutormin (27'), Erokhin (37'), Zhirkov (61')