Khimki

1 - 3

Zenit

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 58.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Khimki win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.