Russian Premier League | Gameweek 2
Jul 31, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
2 - 1
Baltika

Bongonda (43'), Promes (84')
Umyarov (61'), Martins Pereira (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Henriquez (90')
Radmanovac (78')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Baltika.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Orenburg
Sunday, July 23 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Baltika

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 2-0 Baltika
Sunday, July 23 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawBaltika
57.3% (-2.72 -2.72)22.83% (0.951 0.95)19.87% (1.768 1.77)
Both teams to score 52.06% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.82% (-1.487 -1.49)47.18% (1.487 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (-1.398 -1.4)69.41% (1.398 1.4)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (-1.409 -1.41)16.21% (1.409 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.29% (-2.627 -2.63)45.71% (2.628 2.63)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.13% (1.083 1.08)37.87% (-1.083 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.36% (1.036 1.04)74.64% (-1.037 -1.04)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 57.3%
    Baltika 19.87%
    Draw 22.82%
Spartak MoscowDrawBaltika
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.538 -0.54)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.397 -0.4)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.295 -0.3)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.203 -0.2)
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.46 0.46)
0-0 @ 6.14% (0.374 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.115 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0039999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 5.96% (0.525 0.52)
1-2 @ 5.27% (0.37 0.37)
0-2 @ 2.9% (0.332 0.33)
1-3 @ 1.71% (0.166 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 19.87%

How you voted: Spartak Moscow vs Baltika

Spartak Moscow
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Baltika
7.1%
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