Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 31, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Theo Bongonda 43' goal
  • Nail Umyarov 61' yellowcard
  • Quincy Promes 84' goal
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Radmanovac 78'
  • goal Angelo Henriquez 90'

Spartak Moscow vs Baltika - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 23, 2023 3.30pm
Spartak Moscow 3 - 2 Orenburg
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Theo Bongonda

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Jul 23, 2023 6.00pm
Sochi 2 - 0 Baltika
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Angelo Henriquez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 19.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result

Spartak Moscow 57.3% (-2.72)
Draw 22.83% (+0.96)
Baltika 19.87% (+1.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.06% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.82% (-1.49)
Under 2.5 47.18% (+1.49)
Over 3.5 30.59% (-1.40)
Under 3.5 69.41% (+1.40)
Over 4.5 15.08% (-0.99)
Under 4.5 84.92% (+0.99)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 83.79% (-1.41)
Under 0.5 16.21% (+1.41)
Over 1.5 54.29% (-2.63)
Under 1.5 45.71% (+2.63)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5 62.13% (+1.09)
Under 0.5 37.87% (-1.09)
Over 1.5 25.36% (+1.04)
Under 1.5 74.64% (-1.04)

Score analysis

Spartak Moscow 57.3%
Draw 22.82%
Baltika 19.87%
Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 11.17% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 10.16% (-0.36)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.16% (-0.54)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.34)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.40)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.30)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.21)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 57.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.84% (+0.46)
0-0 @ 6.14% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 4.79% (+0.12)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.82%
Baltika
0-1 @ 5.96% (+0.53)
1-2 @ 5.27% (+0.38)
0-2 @ 2.9% (+0.34)
1-3 @ 1.71% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.55% (+0.09)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 19.87%