Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 74%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 9.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 3-0 (10.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.