Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena
CSKA Moscow

Spartak Moscow
2 - 1
CSKA

Promes (43', 90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Medina (37')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and CSKA Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Khimki 1-1 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, May 13 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: CSKA 3-0 Torpedo Moskva
Saturday, May 13 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawCSKA Moscow
47.18% (0.032000000000004 0.03)25.72% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)27.11% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)52.07% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.02 0.02)73.8% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (0.025000000000006 0.03)22.07% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)55.41% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)33.96% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.36% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)70.64% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 47.17%
    CSKA Moscow 27.11%
    Draw 25.72%
Spartak MoscowDrawCSKA Moscow
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 47.17%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8%
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 27.11%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 6pm
gameweek 13
CSKA
2-2
Spartak Moscow
Chalov (17', 76')
Zinkovskiy (53'), Sobolev (58')
Promes (8')
Feb 26, 2022 4pm
gameweek 19
Spartak Moscow
0-2
CSKA

Umyarov (40'), Moses (90+6')
Yazici (49'), Zainutdinov (79')
Fernandes (24'), Carrascal (30'), Ejuke (83')
Sep 20, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 8
CSKA
1-0
Spartak Moscow
Zabolotny (81')
Zabolotny (43'), Bohinen (70'), Oblyakov (75')
Zabolotny (90+2')

Umyarov (53')
Apr 25, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 27
Spartak Moscow
1-0
CSKA
Larsson (52')

Dzagoev (53'), Lucas (62'), Maradishvili (64'), Maximenko (88'), Moses (90+3'), Umyarov (90+4')
Akhmetov (37')
Sep 13, 2020 5pm
gameweek 7
CSKA
3-1
Spartak Moscow
Magnusson (30'), Vlasic (45+1'), Ejuke (90+1')
Karpov (1'), Bistrovic (90+4')
Ponce (11')
Maslov (29'), Lucas (34'), Sobolev (58'), Urunov (90')