Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 73.67%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 9.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.