Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 78.35%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 7.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.21%) and 1-0 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.