Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.