Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo Moskva win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.