Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 60.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Torpedo Moskva
60.17% ( 0.11)	21.78% ( 0.05)	18.05% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 52.25% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.68% (

-0.5)

45.32% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.34% (

-0.48)

67.66% (

0.48)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37% (

-0.13)

14.63% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.24% (

-0.25)

42.75% (

0.25)

Torpedo Moskva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.21% (

-0.49)

38.79% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.48% (

-0.46)

75.52% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Sochi 60.16%

Torpedo Moskva 18.05%

Draw 21.77%

Sochi	Draw	Torpedo Moskva
1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 60.16%	1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.77%	0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.05%