Russian Premier League | Gameweek 22
Apr 9, 2023 at 12pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Sochi
1 - 2
Krylia Sovetov

Noboa (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gaponov (52'), Costanza (73')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Krylia Sovetov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-2 Sochi
Saturday, April 1 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-1 Orenburg
Sunday, April 2 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
SochiDrawKrylia Sovetov
56.63% (0.188 0.19)22.13% (-0.052 -0.05)21.23% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 56.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.68% (0.057000000000002 0.06)42.32% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.27% (0.058 0.06)64.72% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (0.079999999999998 0.08)14.76% (-0.08 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (0.152 0.15)43% (-0.15 -0.15)
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)33.73% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-0.103 -0.1)70.39% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Sochi 56.63%
    Krylia Sovetov 21.23%
    Draw 22.13%
SochiDrawKrylia Sovetov
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.11% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.81% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 56.63%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 21.23%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 12pm
Krylia Sovetov
2-0
Sochi
Cirkovic (24'), Pinyaev (45+1')

Dordevic (19')
Mar 20, 2022 1.30pm
Sochi
2-3
Krylia Sovetov
Melkadze (80'), Makarchuk (83')
Tsallagov (18'), Burmistrov (31'), Drkusic (53'), Terekhov (63'), Melkadze (90+3')
Terekhov (63')
Glushenkov (45+1'), Gorshkov (78' pen.), Zinkovskiy (90+1')
Yakuba (39'), Barac (54'), Zinkovskiy (68'), Bijl (84')
Aug 21, 2021 6pm
Krylia Sovetov
1-0
Sochi
Sergeev (33')
Prutsev (39')

Dzhanaev (90+6')
Jul 22, 2020 5pm
Krylia Sovetov
3-0
Sochi
Oct 5, 2019 5pm
Sochi
0-2
Krylia Sovetov

Pomerko (21'), Lagator (51'), Kudryashov (67'), Tsallagov (76')
Sobolev (4', 69')
Mijailovic (22'), Sobolev (34')