Russian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Jul 23, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Otkrytiye Arena

Spartak Moscow
3 - 2
Orenburg

Moses (45'), Khlusevich (76', 90+1')
Meleshin (65'), Balde (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vorobyev (50'), Florentin (67')
Florentin (45+2'), Perez (65'), Mansilla (79'), Sysuev (88')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Spartak Moscow and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, June 3 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 3-0 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, June 3 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 19.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Spartak MoscowDrawOrenburg
59.95% (0.014000000000003 0.01)20.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.32% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)38.54% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.16% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)60.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)38.53% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)33.43% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94% (-0.026 -0.03)70.06% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Moscow 59.95%
    Orenburg 19.32%
    Draw 20.72%
Spartak MoscowDrawOrenburg
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86%
3-0 @ 6.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.56%
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.48%
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 59.95%
1-1 @ 9.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 19.32%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 9am
Gameweek 20
Orenburg
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Kavalyow (17'), Vorobyev (23')
Jul 31, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 3
Spartak Moscow
4-1
Orenburg
Martins Pereira (2'), Sobolev (12'), Promes (38', 90+4')
Khlusevich (80')
Basic (55')
Sivakov (21'), Oganesyan (61'), Ektov (87'), Khotulev (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 11am
Gameweek 22
Orenburg
1-3
Spartak Moscow
Fameyeh (17')
Terekhov (45'), Miskic (56')
Ponce (44'), Larsson (71'), Mirzov (90')
Maslov (29'), Markitesov (45'), Lucas (90')
Sep 29, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Spartak Moscow
1-2
Orenburg
Melgarejo (65')
Kutepov (6'), Bakaev (93')
Malykh (45'), Despotovic (63')
Terekhov (21'), Miskic (33')
Miskic (71')
May 26, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 30
Orenburg
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Alves (8'), Kulishev (94')
Popovic (11'), Despotovic (12'), Malykh (78'), Dovbnya (90'), Kulishev (95')

Guliev (27'), Melgarejo (78')