Russian Premier League | Gameweek 29
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Futbol'naya Akademiya Spartak im. F. Cherenkova

Torpedo Moskva
1 - 3
Orenburg

Curic (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vorobyev (42' pen.), Marin (50' pen.), Kapustyanskiy (87')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Torpedo Moskva and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torpedo Moskva

All competitions
Last Game: Torpedo Moskva 0-3 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 2-2 Zenit
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
Torpedo MoskvaDrawOrenburg
27.66% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)23.29%49.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 59.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)41.16% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Torpedo Moskva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)27.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.44% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.92%47.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Torpedo Moskva 27.66%
    Orenburg 49.05%
    Draw 23.28%
Torpedo MoskvaDrawOrenburg
2-1 @ 6.85%
1-0 @ 6.04%
2-0 @ 3.86%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.66%
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.08%
0-0 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 9.5%
0-1 @ 8.38%
0-2 @ 7.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.62%
0-3 @ 4.39%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 2.49%
0-4 @ 1.95%
2-4 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 49.05%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 5
Orenburg
1-0
Torpedo Moskva
Vorobyev (31')
Vera (12'), Poluyakhtov (33'), Mansilla (52'), Sivakov (70')

Turischev (90+1')
Kutepov (48')