Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2023 at 4pm UK
Ekaterinburg Arena

Ural
3 - 2
Spartak Moscow

Miskic (45+2'), Egorychev (90'), Bicfalvi (90+4')
Yushin (38'), Beveev (44'), Schettine (68'), Begic (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bongonda (53'), Sobolev (81')
Sobolev (28'), Dzhikiya (88'), Khlusevich (90+7')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Ural Yekaterinburg and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orenburg 0-2 Ural
Saturday, August 5 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Rubin Kazan 1-4 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, August 5 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Ural YekaterinburgDrawSpartak Moscow
20.59% (0.010999999999999 0.01)24.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)54.68% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)53.88% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.34% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)40.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)77.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)19.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)51.62% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ural Yekaterinburg 20.59%
    Spartak Moscow 54.67%
    Draw 24.72%
Ural YekaterinburgDrawSpartak Moscow
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.59%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.24%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 13.09%
0-2 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 54.67%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 11am
Gameweek 18
Spartak Moscow
2-2
Ural
Litvinov (45+4', 75')
Vloet (29' pen.), Bicfalvi (64')
Aug 6, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 4
Ural
0-2
Spartak Moscow

Gadzhimuradov (75')
Promes (27'), Ignatov (44')
Promes (28'), Khlusevich (51')
May 7, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 28
Ural
1-3
Spartak Moscow
Goglichidze (55')
Nicholson (11', 26'), Moses (30')
Aug 14, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Spartak Moscow
1-0
Ural
Zobnin (27')
Rasskazov (23'), Gigot (42')

Gerasimov (33'), Godzyur (45'), Egorychev (76')
Mar 18, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 23
Spartak Moscow
5-1
Ural
Larsson (12', 57'), Promes (26'), Sobolev (45+3' pen., 90+8' pen.)
Gigot (74'), Kutepov (76'), Larsson (84'), Lucas (86')
Bicfalvi (55' pen.)
Gerasimov (56'), Konovalov (85'), Strandberg (90+6')