Russian Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Rostov Arena

Baltika
2 - 2
Rostov

Henriquez (86'), Bistrovic (90+1')
Guzina (62')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Utkin (16'), Golenkov (43')
Bayramyan (61')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Baltika and Rostov.

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Last Game: Lokomotiv 3-2 Baltika
Sunday, September 3 at 1.15pm in Russian Premier League

Rostov

All competitions
Last Game: Rostov 1-2 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, September 3 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
BaltikaDrawRostov
46.07% (-0.25 -0.25)26.48% (0.085000000000001 0.09)27.44% (0.165 0.16)
Both teams to score 49.42% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.15% (-0.233 -0.23)54.85% (0.23 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.85% (-0.194 -0.19)76.14% (0.19200000000001 0.19)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (-0.221 -0.22)23.76% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.09% (-0.317 -0.32)57.91% (0.315 0.31)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)35.18% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)71.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Baltika 46.07%
    Rostov 27.44%
    Draw 26.48%
BaltikaDrawRostov
1-0 @ 12.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.07%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.73% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.56% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 27.44%