Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 1.15pm
3
2
HT : 3 0
FT RZD Arena
  • Artem Dzyuba 9' goal
  • Artem Karpukas 15' yellowcard
  • Anton Miranchuk 17' goal
  • Dmitriy Barinov 34' goal
  • yellowcard Nikola Radmanovac 20'
  • goal Gedeon Guzina 50'
  • goal Sergey Pryakhin 65'

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Baltika - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 6.00pm
Sochi 0 - 1 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Timur Suleymanov

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 3.30pm
Krylia Sovetov 2 - 1 Baltika
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Angelo Henriquez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Baltika win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result

Lokomotiv Moscow 48.89% (-0.95)
Draw 25.26% (+0.42)
Baltika 25.85% (+0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.81% (-0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.89% (-1.30)
Under 2.5 51.11% (+1.30)
Over 3.5 27.03% (-1.15)
Under 3.5 72.96% (+1.16)
Over 4.5 12.67% (-0.77)
Under 4.5 87.33% (+0.77)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 79.07% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 20.92% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 46.34% (-1.46)
Under 1.5 53.65% (+1.46)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5 65.52% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 34.48% (+0.27)
Over 1.5 28.81% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 71.19% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 48.88%
Draw 25.26%
Baltika 25.85%
Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 11.28% (+0.27)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 8.83% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.20)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.16)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.01% (+0.20)
0-0 @ 7.21% (+0.37)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 25.26%
Baltika
0-1 @ 7.68% (+0.35)
1-2 @ 6.4% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.09% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.45% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.85%