Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Baltika in this match.

Result
Baltika	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
39.85% ( 0.01)	27.17% ( 0)	32.97% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.95% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.61% (

-0.01)

55.39% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.41% (

-0.01)

76.59% (

0.01)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8%

27.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.39% (

-0)

62.61% (

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

-0.01)

31.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.24% (

-0.01)

67.76% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Baltika 39.85%

Akhmat Grozny 32.98%

Draw 27.17%

Baltika	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.85%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.98%