Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3

Aug 6, 2023 at 6pm UK

Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Sochi
1 - 2
Akhmat Grozny

Noboa (36' pen.)
Dordevic (50')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ilyin (42'), Timofeev (45+3')
Celikovic (90+4')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Akhmat Grozny.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions

Last Game: Krasnodar 2-0 Sochi
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions

Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 2-3 CSKA
Sunday, July 30 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 50.67%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
50.67% ( -0.18)	24.61% ( 0.15)	24.72% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 52.78% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.68% (

-0.6)

49.32% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.63% (

-0.55)

71.37% (

0.55)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

-0.31)

19.47% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.68% (

-0.51)

51.33% (

0.51)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.54% (

-0.3)

34.46% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.83% (

-0.32)

71.17% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Sochi 50.67%

Akhmat Grozny 24.72%

Draw 24.6%

Sochi	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.67%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.72%