Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 20, 2023 at 5pm UK
Akhmat Arena

Akhmat Grozny
3 - 0
Khimki

Karapuzov (28'), Timofeev (49'), Kharin (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Khimki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 0-3 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Khimki

All competitions
Last Game: Khimki 1-1 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, May 13 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 10.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawKhimki
71.49% (0.077999999999989 0.08)17.81% (-0.041 -0.04)10.7% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.96% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.43% (0.070999999999998 0.07)43.56% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.04% (0.070999999999998 0.07)65.95% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13% (0.037000000000006 0.04)10.86% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.03% (0.090000000000003 0.09)34.97% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Khimki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)48.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.45% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)83.55% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 71.48%
    Khimki 10.7%
    Draw 17.81%
Akhmat GroznyDrawKhimki
2-0 @ 12.96%
1-0 @ 11.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.33% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.36% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.71% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 71.48%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 17.81%
0-1 @ 3.81% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.07% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 10.7%

Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 1pm
gameweek 5
Khimki
1-3
Akhmat Grozny
Lomovitski (61')
Danilkin (20'), Chyorny (71')
Troshechkin (14'), Shvets (43'), Timofeev (90+3')
Agalarov (84')
Dec 12, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 18
Akhmat Grozny
4-1
Khimki
Timofeev (19' pen., 45+5' pen.), Konate (50' pen., 65')
Troshechkin (66')
Kukharchuk (12'), Bozhenov (49')
Oct 17, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 11
Khimki
2-0
Akhmat Grozny
Kukharchuk (12'), Dolgov (90')
Kukharchuk (2'), Mirzov (63')

Konovalov (35'), Bystrov (68'), Semenov (71'), Nizic (90+3')
Apr 17, 2021 12pm
gameweek 26
Akhmat Grozny
3-1
Khimki
Kharin (25'), Ilyin (44'), Melkadze (65')
Kharin (9'), Nenakhov (30'), Almasi (56'), Timofeev (75'), Shvets (90'), Sadulaev (90+3')
Idowu (88')
Hyacinthe Sebai (38'), Danilkin (44'), Idowu (90')
Aug 22, 2020 2pm
gameweek 4
Khimki
1-2
Akhmat Grozny
Danilkin (21')
Bozhenov (16'), Polyarus (39'), Idowu (72'), Troshechkin (88')
Idowu (77'), Bozhenov (90+4')
Ilyin (73' pen.), Timofeev (74')
Silva (3'), Ponce (36'), Berisha (77'), Semenov (81'), Kadyrov (90')