Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 25
Apr 30, 2023 at 5pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
5 - 1
Khimki

Miranchuk (27' pen.), Dzyuba (52', 70'), Ignatyev (73'), Isidor (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rudenko (60')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Khimki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: CSKA 1-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Khimki

All competitions
Last Game: Khimki 4-2 Torpedo Moskva
Saturday, April 22 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawKhimki
62.4% (-0.864 -0.86)21.12% (0.145 0.15)16.48% (0.721 0.72)
Both teams to score 51.16% (1.12 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.85% (0.68 0.68)45.15% (-0.678 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.51% (0.649 0.65)67.49% (-0.649 -0.65)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)13.88% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.7% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)41.29% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Khimki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.41% (1.334 1.33)40.58% (-1.335 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.82% (1.183 1.18)77.18% (-1.183 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 62.39%
    Khimki 16.48%
    Draw 21.12%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawKhimki
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 10.98% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.52% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.39%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.63% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.12%
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.52% (0.187 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 16.48%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 1pm
gameweek 6
Khimki
0-3
Lokomotiv

Gbane (17'), Volkov (29'), Bozhenov (45+2'), Mirzov (45+6'), Dolgov (61')
Kerk (22'), Kamano (34'), Maradishvili (90+1')
Karpukas (11'), Mampasi (40'), Barinov (51')
Mampasi (45+1')
Mar 6, 2022 11am
gameweek 20
Lokomotiv
3-2
Khimki
Kerk (8'), Isidor (21'), Kuchta (80')
Maradishvili (18'), Isidor (48')
Lamkel Ze (6', 72')
Viana (15'), Zhirkov (29'), Bozhenov (35'), Yuran (43'), Lamkel Ze (80'), Volkov (83')
Viana (42')
Sep 25, 2021 12pm
gameweek 9
Khimki
0-0
Lokomotiv

Ademi (33'), Sokolov (65'), Glushakov (90+3')

Barinov (25')
Marinato (53')
Dec 17, 2020 3pm
gameweek 19
Khimki
3-2
Lokomotiv
Koryan (26' pen.), Kukharchuk (85'), Dolgov (90+3')
Koryan (44')
Krychowiak (15'), Cerqueira (37')
Nikolic (30'), Kulikov (57'), Rajkovic (83')
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
gameweek 10
Lokomotiv
2-1
Khimki
Lisakovich (25'), Ignatyev (55')
Bozhenov (46')
Danilkin (9'), Gapon (45+1'), Glushakov (90+3'), Tikhiy (90+3')