Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Khimki win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.