Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.