Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.