Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.