Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 48.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Baltika
48.67% ( 0.1)	26.74% ( -0.03)	24.59% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 46.42% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.41% (

0.06)

57.59% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.63% (

0.05)

78.37% (

-0.05)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.26% (

0.08)

23.74% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.12% (

0.11)

57.88% (

-0.1)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.87% (

-0.03)

39.13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.16% (

-0.03)

75.84% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Akhmat Grozny 48.66%

Baltika 24.59%

Draw 26.74%

Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Baltika
1-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 48.66%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.59%