Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 51.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Baltika win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orenburg in this match.

Result
Orenburg	Draw	Baltika
51.96% ( 0.04)	25.18% ( 0.08)	22.86% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 49.02% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

-0.41)

53.28% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

-0.35)

74.83% (

0.35)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.49% (

-0.15)

20.51% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47% (

-0.23)

53% (

0.23)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.67% (

-0.35)

38.33% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.91% (

-0.33)

75.09% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Orenburg 51.95%

Baltika 22.86%

Draw 25.18%

Orenburg	Draw	Baltika
1-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 51.95%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 22.86%