Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2023 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Baltika Stadium
  • goal Ivan Sergeev 63'
  • goal Mateo Cassierra 77'

Baltika vs Zenit St Petersburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 27, 2023 5.00pm
Rubin Kazan 1 - 0 Baltika
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Angelo Henriquez

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 5.00pm
Zenit 2 - 1 Akhmat Grozny
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Mateo Cassierra

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Baltika win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result

Baltika 16.56% (+0.90)
Draw 21.57% (+0.32)
Zenit St Petersburg 61.87% (-1.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.9% (+0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.07% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 46.93% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 30.82% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 69.18% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 15.24% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 84.76% (-0.17)

Baltika Goals

Over 0.5 58.45% (+1.31)
Under 0.5 41.55% (-1.31)
Over 1.5 21.96% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 78.04% (-1.13)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5 85.37% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 14.62% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 57.26% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 42.74% (+0.58)

Score analysis

Baltika 16.56%
Draw 21.57%
Zenit St Petersburg 61.86%
Baltika
1-0 @ 5.34% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 4.51% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 2.34% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 1.32% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 1.27% (+0.10)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.26% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.33% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.57%
Zenit St Petersburg
0-1 @ 11.68% (-0.25)
0-2 @ 11.22% (-0.36)
1-2 @ 9.86% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 7.2% (-0.32)
1-3 @ 6.32% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 3.46% (-0.19)
1-4 @ 3.04% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.78% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.33% (+0.03)
0-5 @ 1.33% (-0.09)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 61.86%