Russian Premier League | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2023 at 4pm UK
Baltika Stadium
Zenit St Petersburg

Baltika
0 - 2
Zenit

FT(HT: 0-0)
Sergeev (63'), Cassierra (77')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Baltika and Zenit St Petersburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Last Game: Rubin Kazan 1-0 Baltika
Friday, October 27 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Last Game: Zenit 2-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, October 28 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Baltika win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
BaltikaDrawZenit St Petersburg
16.56% (0.891 0.89)21.57% (0.318 0.32)61.87% (-1.207 -1.21)
Both teams to score 49.9% (0.944 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (0.248 0.25)46.93% (-0.246 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (0.232 0.23)69.18% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.45% (1.305 1.31)41.55% (-1.304 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.96% (1.128 1.13)78.04% (-1.128 -1.13)
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.37% (-0.29600000000001 -0.3)14.62% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.26% (-0.574 -0.57)42.74% (0.575 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Baltika 16.56%
    Zenit St Petersburg 61.86%
    Draw 21.57%
BaltikaDrawZenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 5.34% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 4.51% (0.223 0.22)
2-0 @ 2.34% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.27% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 16.56%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 11.68% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 11.22% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-2 @ 9.86% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 7.2% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-3 @ 6.32% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.46% (-0.188 -0.19)
1-4 @ 3.04% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.08 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.33% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 61.86%