Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Baltika had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Baltika win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.