Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 1-0 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.