Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 37.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.