Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 at 5pm UK
Saint Petersburg Stadium
Dynamo Moscow

Zenit
2 - 3
Dynamo Moscow

Balbuena (9' og.), Sergeev (90')
Erakovic (79')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tyukavin (2', 33'), Grulyov (90+6')
Makarov (41'), Smolov (90+6')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Dynamo Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rostov 1-1 Zenit
Saturday, July 29 at 6pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 3-3 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, July 29 at 1pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Dynamo Moscow win it was 1-2 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawDynamo Moscow
62.64% (0.072000000000003 0.07)19.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)17.57% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 58.17% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.94% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)37.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.75% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)59.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (0.012 0.01)11.33% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64% (0.033000000000001 0.03)36% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)34.4% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)71.11% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 62.64%
    Dynamo Moscow 17.57%
    Draw 19.79%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawDynamo Moscow
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.71% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 62.64%
1-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.79%
1-2 @ 4.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 17.57%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 24
Zenit
3-1
Dynamo Moscow
Malcom (45+1' pen., 68'), Mostovoy (87')
Fomin (80')
Sep 17, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 10
Dynamo Moscow
0-2
Zenit
Mostovoy (35'), Mantuan (90+3')
Dec 12, 2021 11am
Gameweek 18
Dynamo Moscow
1-1
Zenit
Skopintsev (72')
Moro (69')
Claudinho (34')
Santos (45+3')
Oct 29, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 13
Zenit
4-1
Dynamo Moscow
Claudinho (8'), Wendel (66'), Dzyuba (69'), Rakitskiy (85')
Wendel (45+1'), Karavayev (55'), Lovren (62')
Fomin (56' pen.)
Skopintsev (25'), Fomin (51'), Zakharyan (76'), Ordets (79')
Dec 12, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 18
Zenit
3-1
Dynamo Moscow
Dzyuba (14', 34' pen.), Azmoun (84')
Ozdoyev (55'), Chistyakov (90+3')
Komlichenko (56' pen.)
Parshivlyuk (34'), Komlichenko (81')