Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 66.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Ural Yekaterinburg
66.27% ( 0.17)	20.1% ( -0.08)	13.63% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.63% (

0.14)

46.37% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.34% (

0.13)

68.66% (

-0.13)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.89% (

0.09)

13.11% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.25% (

0.19)

39.75% (

-0.19)

Ural Yekaterinburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.73% (

-0.05)

45.27% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.86% (

-0.04)

81.14% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 66.25%

Ural Yekaterinburg 13.63%

Draw 20.1%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Ural Yekaterinburg
2-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 66.25%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.1%	0-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.63%