Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 13, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Saint Petersburg Stadium

Zenit
2 - 0
Fakel

Sergeev (16'), Mantuan (90+8')
Santos (38'), Karavayev (62'), Alip (87'), Erakovic (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bozhin (62'), Appaev (87'), Kvekveskiri (90+7')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions

Russian Premier League

Last Game: Zenit 2-3 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, August 6 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Fakel

All competitions

Last Game: Baltika 2-1 Fakel
Sunday, August 6 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 79.15%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 7.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.16%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Zenit St Petersburg in this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Fakel
79.15% ( 0.36)	13.68% ( -0.23)	7.17% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 45.37% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.1% (

0.67)

35.9% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.01% (

0.73)

57.98% (

-0.73)

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.8% (

0.22)

7.2% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.85% (

0.58)

26.15% (

-0.58)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.89% (

0.14)

51.1% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.59% (

0.1)

85.41% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 79.14%

Fakel 7.17%

Draw 13.68%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Fakel
2-0 @ 12.73% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.77% Total : 79.14%	1-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 13.68%	0-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 7.17%