Russian Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 26, 2023 at 9am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
1 - 1
Akhmat Grozny

Obukhov (50')
Florentin (32'), Deogracia (33'), Perez (36'), Obukhov (45+1'), Kenyaykin (65'), Vorobyev (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Agalarov (65' pen.)
Berisha (39'), Agalarov (52'), Camilo (67'), Utsiyev (77'), Kharin (81')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Akhmat Grozny.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dynamo Moscow 2-0 Orenburg
Sunday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Lokomotiv 2-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, November 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawAkhmat Grozny
48.29% (0.497 0.5)23.52% (-0.103 -0.1)28.19% (-0.393 -0.39)
Both teams to score 59.52% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.14% (0.224 0.22)41.86% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.74% (0.226 0.23)64.26% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.47% (0.28 0.28)17.53% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.95% (0.484 0.48)48.05% (-0.483 -0.48)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (-0.158 -0.16)27.82% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.203 -0.2)63.42% (0.204 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 48.29%
    Akhmat Grozny 28.19%
    Draw 23.52%
OrenburgDrawAkhmat Grozny
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.39% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.53% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.52%
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 28.19%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 5
Akhmat Grozny
4-0
Orenburg
Timofeev (9'), Berisha (24'), Ilyin (35'), Camilo (87')
Ilyin (59')

Gojkovic (36'), Florentin (74'), Obukhov (74')
Mar 4, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 18
Akhmat Grozny
3-1
Orenburg
Kharin (11'), Berisha (45+3' pen.), Timofeev (90+4')
Vorobyev (45+6')
Oct 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Orenburg
2-1
Akhmat Grozny
Sychevoy (53'), Ayupov (68')
Konate (28')
Nov 23, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 17
Orenburg
1-2
Akhmat Grozny
Skoflek (91')
Ayupov (35'), Dovbnya (38'), Malykh (72')
Ponce (36' pen.), Roshi (75')
Gigolaev (33'), Ivanov (64'), Roshi (66')
Aug 5, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 4
Akhmat Grozny
2-1
Orenburg
Kharin (49'), Roshi (70')
Shvets (23'), Nizic (26'), Glushakov (93')
Despotovic (65')
Shakhov (4'), Despotovic (69')