Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
39.42% ( -0.38)	23.6% ( 0.07)	36.98% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 62.99% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.11% (

-0.29)

38.89% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.8% (

-0.31)

61.2% (

0.31)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95% (

-0.3)

20.05% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.74% (

-0.49)

52.26% (

0.49)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.78% (

0.03)

21.22% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.89% (

0.05)

54.11% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Akhmat Grozny 39.42%

Dynamo Moscow 36.98%

Draw 23.59%

Akhmat Grozny	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 39.42%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.59%	1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 36.98%