Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Rostov Arena

Rostov
3 - 0
Akhmat Grozny

Golenkov (34'), Osipenko (41' pen.), Mohebi (53')
Tugarev (86')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Todorovic (16'), Shvets (36'), Kharin (39')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Akhmat Grozny.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rostov

All competitions
Last Game: Krasnodar 3-2 Rostov
Saturday, October 7 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 0-1 Rubin Kazan
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.

Result
RostovDrawAkhmat Grozny
40.74% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.65% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.15% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.18% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)48.82% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.08% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)70.92% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)23.73% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)57.86% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.75% (0.0039999999999978 0)63.25%
Score Analysis
    Rostov 40.74%
    Akhmat Grozny 33.65%
    Draw 25.6%
RostovDrawAkhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.74%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.65%

Head to Head
May 28, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 29
Rostov
3-2
Akhmat Grozny
Golenkov (6', 11'), Prokhin (73')
Mironov (45+3'), Glebov (45+1'), Golenkov (45+2'), Langovich (76')
Agalarov (32'), Karapuzov (40')
Kharin (16'), Kamilov (37'), Semenov (45+1'), Timofeev (45+1'), Todorovic (45+1'), Shvets (58'), Karapuzov (82'), Oleynikov (90')
Timofeev (69')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Akhmat Grozny
1-2
Rostov
Konate (14')
Komlichenko (74'), Silyanov (86')
Nov 27, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
Akhmat Grozny
2-0
Rostov
Polyarus (26' pen.), Sebai (76')
Shvets (45+1'), Timofeev (52'), Kharin (57')

Glebov (41'), Shchetinin (78')
Sep 26, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Rostov
1-2
Akhmat Grozny
Poloz (90+4')
Melekhin (71'), Poyarkov (78')
Lystsov (36'), Konovalov (53' pen.)
Semenov (29'), Konate (43'), Polyarus (64'), Kharin (72'), Utkin (74')
Dec 13, 2020 4pm
Gameweek 18
Akhmat Grozny
0-1
Rostov

Ilyin (66')
Tugarev (82')
Hadzikadunic (13')