Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 36.66%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (11.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rostov in this match.
