Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
VTB Arena (Moskva)

Dynamo Moscow
2 - 0
Orenburg

Tyukavin (59'), Chavez (67')
Chavez (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gojkovic (73')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Dynamo Moscow and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dynamo Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 3-3 Dynamo Moscow
Monday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 1-1 Rostov
Monday, November 6 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 57.26%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 21.72% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 1-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.

Result
Dynamo MoscowDrawOrenburg
57.26% (-0.494 -0.49)21.02% (0.164 0.16)21.72% (0.33 0.33)
Both teams to score 61.18% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.52% (-0.342 -0.34)36.48% (0.342 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.38% (-0.374 -0.37)58.62% (0.373 0.37)
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.37% (-0.252 -0.25)12.64% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.23% (-0.523 -0.52)38.78% (0.523 0.52)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (0.097999999999999 0.1)29.97% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91% (0.116 0.12)66.09% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Dynamo Moscow 57.26%
    Orenburg 21.72%
    Draw 21.02%
Dynamo MoscowDrawOrenburg
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 4.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.89% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 57.26%
1-1 @ 9.44% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.02%
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.56% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 21.72%

Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Orenburg
3-0
Dynamo Moscow
Mansilla (6'), Vorobyev (40'), Vera (75')

Ngamaleu (38')
Oct 15, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Dynamo Moscow
3-2
Orenburg
Parshivlyuk (11'), Grulyov (64'), Fernandez (81')
Sychevoy (25', 52')
Jul 22, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 30
Dynamo Moscow
0-1
Orenburg

Philipp (34'), Morozov (90+1')
Fameyeh (29')
Ayupov (25'), Terekhov (38'), Sivakov (39')
Oct 5, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 12
Orenburg
2-0
Dynamo Moscow
Kulishev (61'), Radakovic (88')
Radakovic (36')

Yusupov (21'), Yevgenyev (82')
Yusupov (42')
Mar 16, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 20
Orenburg
1-0
Dynamo Moscow
Despotovic (52')
Begic (29'), Breev (36'), Despotovic (53'), Andreev (60'), Popovic (74')

Cernych (15'), Holmen (38'), Lutsenko (62'), Aziz Tetteh (67')